【技术解盘】8月5日盘面解析

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外围股市大跌,今日上证指数低开下探,冲高后一路下行,最终收出实体为33.08个点的中阴线,报收于2821.50点,跌1.62%。股指继续下降结构,且下跌加速,呈现超跌走势,短期不考虑参与买入。


板块方面,人民币贬值收益股大涨,黄金概念持续走强,次新股表现活跃,华为概念、区块链概念依然较强。科创板个股早盘杀跌后再度走强。板块效应不佳,忌追涨。

The peripheral stock market fell sharply. Today, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index opened low and went down after soaring. Finally, it closed at 2821.50 points, down 1.62%. The structure of stock index continued to decline, and the decline accelerated, showing a trend of over-fall, short-term no consideration of participation in buying.


On the plate side, RMB depreciation earnings stocks rose sharply, gold concept continued to strengthen, sub-new stocks showed active performance, Huawei concept and block chain concept remained strong. Kechuang board stocks strengthened again after falling early in the market. Plate effect is not good, avoid chasing up.


上证指数日线图

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在日线图走势中,股指继续杀跌,正回补2月25日附近的缺口。使用金字塔测算2019年1月4日的波段低点至2019年4月8日的波段高点,股指短期回调的第二目标位R2:2833.16点,今日再次回到中长线调整的R2之下,耐心等待底部结构的产生。近期股价反弹后重视回避风险。(金字塔:以完整的一波上涨或下跌走势为基础结构,从结构理论的内容,可以确认这一基础结构对未来股价的运行会产生直接影响,可测算股价回调或反弹的目标位。)

In the daily chart trend, the stock index continued to fall, is filling the gap near February 25. Using the pyramid to measure the band low of January 4, 2019 to the band high of April 8, 2019, the second target of short-term stock index callback is R2:2833.16. Today, we return to the middle and long-term adjusted R2 again, waiting patiently for the bottom structure to emerge. After the recent stock price rebound, we should pay attention to avoiding risks. (Pyramid: Based on a complete wave of upward or downward trend, from the content of structural theory, we can confirm that this basic structure will have a direct impact on the operation of future stock prices, and can measure the target position of stock price rebound or rebound.)


深证成指日线图

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今日深证成指低开下探后,迅速冲高,随后一路下行,最终收中阴线,报收于8984.73点,跌1.66%。用金字塔测算2019年6月6日的波段低点至2019年7月2日的波段高点,股指波段回调的第二目标R2:9045.16点,股指呈现急速下跌状态回到R2之下,接下来股指出现的上涨为短期反弹,依然重视卖出机会。买入需要耐心等待止跌结构的出现。

The Shenzhen Composite Index rose rapidly after its low opening, then went down all the way, and finally closed at 8984.73 points, down 1.66%. Using the pyramid to measure the band low of June 6, 2019 to the band high of July 2, 2019, the second target of the stock index band callback is R2:9045.16. The stock index shows a sharp decline and returns to below R2. Next, the stock market points out that the rise in cash is a short-term rebound, and still attaches importance to selling opportunities. Buying requires patience to wait for a stop-fall structure to emerge.


创业板指日线图

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创业板指低开下探后冲高,随后一路下行,形成短线超跌走势。上周五提示创业板指重视盘中上涨后的卖出机会,今日盘中15分钟K线图中(如图),使用金字塔连接2019年7月30日的波段高点至2019年8月2日的波段低点,股指反弹的第二目标位R2:1564.78点,盘中10:30左右到目标位,为重要的高抛机会。日线上,股指回调的第二目标为1499.34点,耐心等待调整到位后的止跌机会。

在结构上,沪深指数与创业板指继续分化;今日盘面三段股指全线下跌,说明整体市场开始转弱,谨慎对待,避免盲目交易。

GEM is a short-term overshoot trend, with a low opening and a high rush, followed by a downward trend. The second target of rebound of stock index is R2:1564.78, and the second target of rebound of stock index is R2:1564.78. In today's 15-minute K-line chart (see figure), the pyramid is used to connect the band highs of July 30, 2019 to the band lows of August 2, 2019. The second target of rebound of stock index is R2:1564.78. Opportunity. On the daily line, the second target of the stock index callback is 1499.34 points, waiting patiently for the opportunity to stop the decline after the adjustment is in place.


Structurally, the Shanghai-Shenzhen index and the GEM index continue to differentiate; today's three stock indices fell across the board, indicating that the overall market began to weaken, cautious treatment, to avoid blind trading.


【热点分析】

华纺股份(600448)

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华纺股份(600448)属于纺织服装行业,同时具有工业4.0、透明工厂、人民币贬值受益概念。今日在离岸人民币迅速破7,创近几年新低的刺激下,该股为人民币贬值受益股的龙头。根据结构理论的上涨预测结构,使用顶底决策测算2019年7月8日的波段低点至2019年7月11日的高点,股价短期上涨的第一目标位T1:6.80元,目前报收于6.58元。注意上涨到达T1之上,不再涨停时存在的短期调整风险。(顶底决策:机构资金完成建仓,并选择拉升,这一过程中存在着可以测算股价上涨的内在结构,根据先进的结构理论可预测股价上涨的目标位。)

Huafang Stock (600448) belongs to the textile and apparel industry, and has the concepts of industry 4.0, transparent factory and RMB depreciation benefit. Today, the offshore renminbi quickly broke 7, hit a new low in recent years, stimulated by the depreciation of the renminbi beneficiary shares as the leader. According to the structure theory of the rise forecast structure, using top-bottom decision to measure the low of July 8, 2019 to the high of July 11, 2019, the first target of short-term stock price rise is T1:6.80 yuan, which is currently reported at 6.58 yuan. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment risk when the price rises above T1 and no longer stops. (Top-and-bottom decision-making: Institutional funds complete warehousing and choose to pull up. In this process, there exists an intrinsic structure that can measure stock price rise. According to advanced structural theory, the target position of stock price rise can be predicted.)


新兴装备(002933)

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新兴装备(002933)属于航空板块,同时具有军工、高端装备、军民融合概念。近期随着国防白皮书的发布,军工板块被机构资金关注,该股今日创最近3个月的新高。根据结构理论的上涨预测结构,使用顶底决策测算2019年5月6日的波段低点至2019年6月3日的波段高点,股价波段上涨的第一目标T1:55.44元,目前报收于49.39元,依然具备上涨的空间,注意股价盘中回落后的低吸参机会。

Emerging equipment (002933) belongs to the aviation sector, and has the concepts of military industry, high-end equipment and civil-military integration. Recently, with the release of the defense white paper, the military sector has been the focus of institutional funds, the stock today reached a new high in the last three months. According to the structure theory, we use top-bottom decision to measure the band low of May 6, 2019 to the band high of June 3, 2019. The first target of the band rise of stock price is T1:55.44 yuan. At present, it closes at 49.39 yuan. We still have room to rise. We should pay attention to the low-absorbing opportunity that the stock price falls behind in the market.


福蓉科技(603327)

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福蓉科技(603327)属于元器件板块,同时具有5G、消费电子、华为概念、次新股概念。最近受华为概念板块大涨的刺激,该股出现急速拉升。根据结构理论的上涨预测结构,使用顶底决策测算2019年7月23日的波段低点至2019年7月31日的波段高点,股价上涨的的第一目标位T1:31.27元,目前报收于30.70元,注意股价上涨到T1之上,不再涨停时的短期调整风险。

Furong Science and Technology (603327) belongs to the component sector, and has the concepts of 5G, consumer electronics, Huawei and sub-new shares. Stimulated by the recent surge in Huawei's concept sector, the stock has risen sharply. According to the rise prediction structure of structural theory, we use top-and-bottom decision to measure the wave-band low of July 23, 2019 to the wave-band high of July 31, 2019. The first target of stock price rise is T1:31.27 yuan. At present, it closes at 30.70 yuan. We should pay attention to the short-term adjustment risk when stock price rises above T1 and no longer stops.


美格智能(002881)(回顾)

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美格智能(002881)属于通信设备板块,同时具有5G概念、华为海思概念。随着华为发布亮眼的半年报,该股得到机构资金的认可,目前距离上市之后的历史最高点仅一步之遥。根绝结构理论的上涨预测结构,使用顶底决策测算2019年5月8日的波段低点至2019年7月3容的平台高点,股价波段上涨的目标位T1:30.88元,股价今日涨停到达上涨目标位,注意接下来不再涨停时存在短期调整风险,不再涨停可短期回避。中线上可持续跟踪关注。

Mega Intelligence (002881) belongs to the communication equipment sector. It also has 5G concept and Huawei Haisi concept. With the publication of Huawei's brilliant semi-annual report, the stock has been recognized by institutional funds, which is only one step away from the historical peak after listing. Eradicate the rise prediction structure of structural theory, use top-bottom decision to measure the low of May 8, 2019 to the plateau high of July 3, 2019. The target of stock price rise is T1:30.88 yuan. The price of stock reaches the target of rising today. Pay attention to the risk of short-term adjustment when no longer rising or stopping, no longer rising or stopping can be short-term. Avoid. Sustainable follow-up on the midline.

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