【技术解盘】8月1日盘面解析

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今日上证指数低开震荡下行,全天低位震荡,最终收出实体为12.08个点的小阴线,报收于2908.77点,跌0.81%。股指调整有一步到位的迹象,接下来注意盘中止跌低吸的机会。科创板午后集体爆发。板块方面,养殖概念全天强势,股权转让、区块链表现活跃,黄金概念股大跌,军工、地产、酿酒、证券跌幅居前。板块效应依然不佳。

Today, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index started its downward swing with a full-day low, and eventually received a small negative line of 12.08 points, closing at 2908.77 points, down 0.81%. There is a sign that the stock index adjustment is in place. Next, pay attention to the opportunity of discontinuing the decline. Kechuang Ban erupted collectively in the afternoon. On the plate side, the concept of aquaculture is strong all day, share transfer and block chain are active. Gold concept stocks have fallen sharply, while military industry, real estate, liquor-making and securities have fallen the most. The plate effect is still not good.



上证指数日线图

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在日线图走势中,使用金字塔测算2019年7月22日的低点至2019年7月30日的高点,股指短期回调的第二目标位R2:2922.34点,今日开盘直接到达R2之下,盘中最低已经触及R3的调整极限位,该位置出现盘中止跌起涨可短线参与,若股指继续下跌,则表明市场继续转弱。(金字塔:以完整的一波上涨或下跌走势为基础结构,从结构理论的内容,可以确认这一基础结构对未来股价的运行会产生直接影响,可测算股价回调或反弹的目标位。)

In the daily chart trend, we use the pyramid to measure the low of July 22, 2019 to the high of July 30, 2019. The second target of short-term stock index callback is R2:2922.34. Today's opening directly reaches below R2. The lowest point in the market has touched the adjustment limit of R3. If the stock index continues to rise or fall, it can take part in short-term. Continued decline indicates that the market continues to weaken. (Pyramid: Based on a complete wave of upward or downward trend, from the content of structural theory, we can confirm that this basic structure will have a direct impact on the operation of future stock prices, and can measure the target position of stock price rebound or rebound.)



深证成指日线图

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今日深证成指全天弱势震荡,最终收出阴十字星。报收于9268.05点,跌0.63%。使用金字塔测算2019年7月22日的低点至2019年7月30日的高点,股指短期回调的第二目标R2:9265.71点,今日已经回调到位,盘面出现起涨走势可少仓参与。目前先考虑短线操作。

Today's Shenzhen Stock Exchange refers to all-day vulnerable shocks, and eventually receives the Yin Cross. It closed at 9268.05, down 0.63%. Using the pyramid to measure the low of July 22, 2019 to the high of July 30, 2019, the second target of short-term stock index callback is R2:9265.71, which has been put back in place today, and the rising trend of the stock market can be participated by fewer warehouses. At present, short-term operation should be considered first.



创业板指日线图

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创业板指低开冲高,全天震荡收阳,报收于1573.87点,涨0.22%。使用金字塔测算2019年4月8日的波段高点至2019年6月10日的波段低点,股指波段反弹第二目标R2:1589.90点,依然重视R2位置附近的阻力。昨日提示创业板调整幅度有限,今日低开一步到位,随后震荡上行。

沪深指数与创业板指继续分化,目前创业板指表现最强,沪指有要转弱的迹象,适当的调整关注的方向。

Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) refers to the low opening and high rising. It shocks all day and closes at 1573.87 points, up 0.22%. Using the pyramid to measure the band high of April 8, 2019 to the band low of June 10, 2019, the second target R2:1589.90 of the stock index band rebound, still attaching importance to the resistance near the R2 position. Yesterday, GEM suggested that the adjustment range is limited. Today, the low start is in place, and then the upside shocks.

Shanghai-Shenzhen index and GEM index continue to differentiate. At present, GEM index is the strongest performance. The Shanghai index shows signs of weakening and adjusts the direction of attention appropriately.



【热点分析】

光正集团(002524)

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光正集团(002524)属于医疗保健板块,同时具有一带一路、民营医院、民营银行、PPP模式和新疆概念。近期该股有重大资产重组刺激,出现快速拉升创最近3个月的高点新高。根据结构理论的上涨预测结构,使用顶底决策测算2019年6月6日的波段低点至2019年6月27日的波段高点,股价波段上涨的第一目标T1:6.15元,目前报收于6.14元,注意接下来该股不再涨停时需回避短期调整的风险。(顶底决策:机构资金完成建仓,并选择拉升,这一过程中存在着可以测算股价上涨的内在结构,根据先进的结构理论可预测股价上涨的目标位。)

Guang Zheng group (002524) belongs to the health care sector, and has the concept of "one belt, one way, private hospitals, private banks, PPP and Xinjiang". Recently, the stock has been stimulated by major asset restructuring, with a rapid rise to a new high in the last three months. According to the structure theory, we use top-and-bottom decision to estimate the band low of June 6, 2019 to the band high of June 27, 2019. The first target of the band rise of stock price is T1:6.15 yuan, which is currently closed at 6.14 yuan. We should pay attention to avoiding the risk of short-term adjustment when the stock no longer stops. (Top-and-bottom decision-making: Institutional funds complete warehousing and choose to pull up. In this process, there exists an intrinsic structure that can measure stock price rise. According to advanced structural theory, the target position of stock price rise can be predicted.)



美格智能(002881)

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美格智能(002881)属于通信设备板块,同时具有5G概念、华为海思概念。随着华为发布亮眼的半年报,该股得到机构资金的认可,目前距离上市之后的历史最高点仅一步之遥。根绝结构理论的上涨预测结构,使用顶底决策测算2019年5月8日的波段低点至2019年7月3容的平台高点,股价波段上涨的目标位T1:30.88元,目前报收于26.29元,具备持续跟踪关注的价值。重视回调后的低吸机会。

Mega Intelligence (002881) belongs to the communication equipment sector. It also has 5G concept and Huawei Haisi concept. With the publication of Huawei's brilliant semi-annual report, the stock has been recognized by institutional funds, which is only one step away from the historical peak after listing. To eradicate the rise prediction structure of structural theory, we use top-and-bottom decision to measure the low band of May 8, 2019 to the plateau high of July 3, 2019. The target band of stock price rise is T1:30.88 yuan, which is currently closed at 26.29 yuan. It has the value of continuous follow-up attention. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of low absorption after the callback.



昌红科技(300151)(回顾)

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昌红科技(300151)属于通用机械板块,同时具有医药电商、基因测序概念。今日医药板块异动,该股得到机构资金认可,拉升创最近1年的新高。根据结构理论的上涨预测结构,使用顶底决策测算2018年10月12日的重要低点至2018年11月16日的波段高点,股价短期上涨目标位T1:7.89元,昨日提示已经到达上涨的目标区,股价不再涨停时,重视卖出的机会。今日未涨停高抛。同时,该股中线已经走好,回调后的低吸机会需要注意。

Changhong Science and Technology (300151) belongs to the general mechanical plate, and has the concepts of medical e-commerce and gene sequencing. Today, the pharmaceutical sector has changed, and the unit has been recognized by institutional funds, which has pushed it up to a new high in the last year. According to the structure theory, we use top-and-bottom decision to measure the important low on October 12, 2018 and the band high on November 16, 2018. The short-term target price of stock price is T1:7.89 yuan. Yesterday, we indicated that we have reached the target area of rising. When the stock price is no longer rising or stopping, we should pay attention to selling opportunities. Today, we are not trading high or low. At the same time, the unit's midline has gone well, after the call-back of low-attraction opportunities need to be noted.

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